Betting down the House - A GBM Blog

 OK!  We are back.  After doing no write-ups for two months, we have found the time to provide two write-ups in a single night for the Shanghai GBM plays of the day.  This post will be dedicated to the Humbert/Tsitsipas matchup, where we will see two 25-year olds face off, with the loser getting the price of being allowed to leave Asia and head back to friendly European confines. The Pick:  Humbert ML (+155) Both Manny and Brad believe that Humbert is being significantly undervalued here by the books.  We will break down why The Stats The table below shows the stats for both players since July 24 W-L Hld% Break% SPW% RPW% Tsitsipas 8-5 86.9 19.1 71.0 36.2 Humbert 12-6 82.1 29.7 63.5 40.2 It's important to call out while all of the matches shown here are on hard court, 4 of Tsitsipas' matches are from Los Cabos, which is an exceptionally slow court.  Excluding Los Cabos, Tsitsipas falls to 4-5 and the underlying stats (hold+break% and SPW+RPW%) fall slightly below Humbert Additi

 Hi All! We are back to the blog after a long layoff of doing videos.  That said, Loudmouth has gotten noticeably uglier in the past month and so it is time to go back to blogs.  Today, we will look at a match between Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev!  (Yes I know this match is on a hard court.  But those pics looked cool...) The Pick:  Mannarino to win a set (-105) OK, so why are we on an old dude to win a set vs. the powerful and mighty Rublev who has been a mainstay in the top 10 for years now? The stats Here are the players' stats since August 1 (looking at current form) W-L Hld% Break% SPW% RPW% Rublev 6-4 79.2 27.8 65.0 41.3 Mannarino 13-4 82.1 29.7 63.5 40.2 Looking at these stats, these two players are playing at a similar level.  Two notes on the interesting disparity between Mannarino leading in hold/break% while Rublev leads in points won%.   1)  I wouldn't be surprised if Mannarino is playing more strategically at this point in his career and playing the score a b